Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 14.236852 16.573909 19.118582 22.087861 25.449882 29.130732 33.457679
2025-07-27 10.538539 13.783042 17.672450 22.642386 28.784406 36.083642 45.367714
2025-08-03 8.204123 11.783135 16.413320 22.760415 31.140228 41.720388 55.966994
2025-08-10 6.459977 10.069294 15.056066 22.310563 32.428361 45.849379 64.767832
2025-08-17 5.170134 8.683751 13.835016 21.734360 33.291493 49.286383 72.726193
2025-08-24 4.176473 7.526187 12.716284 21.069485 33.830953 52.174439 79.993778
2025-08-31 3.344990 6.457393 11.544865 20.119417 33.763384 54.078524 85.876199
2025-09-07 2.944814 6.031373 11.311645 20.562668 35.788835 59.125118 96.602338
2025-09-14 2.597196 5.631984 11.054756 20.909736 37.650561 64.005290 107.342194
2025-09-21 2.204684 5.074586 10.439063 20.560108 38.311591 67.019142 115.349399
2025-09-28 1.853499 4.530736 9.765485 20.013827 38.559205 69.342341 122.353872
2025-10-05 1.761662 4.507417 10.061135 21.237654 41.934831 76.952077 138.258245
2025-10-12 1.625087 4.386645 10.196819 22.266607 45.215394 84.893103 155.664658
2025-10-19 1.452383 4.156565 10.093924 22.854581 47.805950 91.943061 172.220053
2025-10-26 1.264233 3.847827 9.778261 22.978825 49.539218 97.623299 186.815393
2025-11-02 1.063245 3.457474 9.219288 22.526133 50.109748 101.255479 198.061264
2025-11-09 0.887150 3.086830 8.639673 21.945246 50.351286 104.274095 208.366614
2025-11-16 0.735202 2.741676 8.057901 21.274786 50.327506 106.766331 217.832806
2025-11-23 0.594985 2.389195 7.391956 20.316661 49.596257 107.836919 224.716343
2025-11-30 0.536827 2.280498 7.332671 20.763680 51.874337 114.838938 243.015638
2025-12-07 0.481670 2.166283 7.239047 21.113691 53.964880 121.592242 261.194394
2025-12-14 0.409530 1.969308 6.880939 20.761099 54.457990 125.176095 273.473534
2025-12-21 0.342307 1.766956 6.467983 20.210172 54.440183 127.703108 283.810108